cnr.com, Beijing, September 14 (Reporter Yu Qi) in the first eight months of this year, China's import and export scale reached 24.78 trillion yuan, a record high, with a growth rate of 23.7%, reaching a 10-year high. What is the next development trend of foreign trade? Ren Hongbin, Vice Minister of Commerce, introduced the relevant situation when attending the press conference of the State Council Information Office on the 14th
since the beginning of this year, the global COVID-19 has been rampant, which has had a huge impact on global production and life. However, China's foreign trade has still shown strong resilience, achieved rapid growth and made steady progress. " Ren Hongbin said, "looking forward to the foreign trade of the whole year, we are confident to complete the goal and task of 'stabilizing quantity and improving quality' through efforts."
(figure from CFP)
meanwhile, Ren Hongbin pointed out that to maintain soberness and stability, we should not be blindly optimistic. There are still many uncertain, unstable and unbalanced factors in the development of foreign trade.
first, the international market demand is facing great uncertainty. Since this year, the global epidemic has been repeated several times. At present, there are still more than 4.5 million newly confirmed cases in a single week, and many countries are" blocking"and" unsealing " The uncertainty of world economic recovery has increased. At the same time, the phased factors driving the growth of foreign trade may subside, and the export growth rate will gradually fall back. The survey shows that the proportion of foreign trade enterprises with increased orders has decreased
Second, the instability of the global industrial chain supply chain is prominent. Affected by the new round of delta virus, some countries have stopped production again, which has hindered the production of a large number of intermediate products such as chips, and seriously affected the stability and smoothness of the global industrial chain and supply chain. At the same time, some countries politicize trade issues and engage in scientific and technological blockade, which also increases the industrial chain and supply chain risks faced by foreign trade enterprises
Third, different markets and enterprise entities began to differentiate. These include: the recovery momentum of emerging markets is lower than that of traditional markets, the order status of small and medium-sized foreign trade enterprises is lower than that of large foreign trade enterprises, and the profitability of middle and downstream foreign trade enterprises is lower than that of upstream enterprises. These factors will affect the ability of foreign trade enterprises to deal with risks
the recent survey shows that the operating pressure of small and medium-sized foreign trade enterprises is increasing, and they are facing the difficulty of "high sea freight and high prices of some raw materials"
Ren Hongbin said that in the next step, the Ministry of Commerce will adhere to both "steady growth" and "promoting innovation", closely track and judge the changes in the international market situation, pay close attention to the development trends of market players, make policy reserves, enhance the anti risk ability of foreign trade and maintain the cross cyclical and stable operation of foreign trade
first, timely launch targeted policy support measures to increase assistance to small, medium-sized and micro foreign trade enterprises. Second, actively participate in high-standard multilateral regional trade arrangements and support the multilateral trading system. Third, jointly build the "the Belt and Road" with high quality, promote the establishment of a smooth trade working mechanism with more trading partner countries, and sign the "Silk Road e-commerce" cooperation agreement. Fourth, actively support the development of new forms and models of foreign trade such as cross-border e-commerce, overseas warehouse, market procurement and offshore trade. Fifth, hold the 130th Canton Fair and the 4th Import Expo and other important exhibitions, share China's development opportunities with global enterprises, and promote the early recovery of global economy and trade